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Evidence for the global failure of
Statism and Dirigisme
[Preamble | Manifesto | Agenda]
Adam Smith mentioned that around 1750: "in
manufacturing art and industry, China and Indostan, though inferior, seem
to be not much inferior to any part of Europe" (cited in
Coale, W.A. and Phyllis Deane (1965). "The Growth of National Incomes," in
Habakkuk, H.J. and M.Postan (1965). The Cambridge Economic History of
Europe. Volume VI. The Industrial Revolution and After: Incomes,
Population and Technological Change. Cambridge University Press).
Even if one allows for the negative influence of the British
between 1750 and 1950 (appx.), it remains to be seen why India fared
among the worst performers in the past 50 years in its economic
development.
Table 1a: Per Capita Income
comparison, 1950
|
Per capita GDP in USD |
USA |
8,648 |
India |
582 |
Number of times the US income was greater than India's income at the time of independence |
14.8 times |
Source: World Bank Tables on CD-ROM
Table 1b: Per Capita Income comparison, 1995
|
Per capita income in USD |
Per capita income in PPP terms |
USA |
25,860 |
25,860 |
India |
appx. 310 |
1,290 |
Number of times the US income is greater than
India's income now |
83 times |
20 times |
Source: World Development Report, 1997.
Table 2: Changes in per capita GNP of developed (capitalist) and less developed (noncapitalist) countries over the past 250 years ( GNP per capita in 1960 dollars)
|
Presently developed countries |
Presently less developed countries |
Around 1750 |
180 |
180-190 |
Around 1930 |
780 |
190 |
Around 1980 |
3000 |
410 |
Source: Heilbroner, Robert L. (1988). Behind the
Veil of Economics: Essays in the Worldly Philosophy. W.W. Norton &
Company, New York, page 54.
Table 3: Growth in real per capita GDP in selected countries, 1960-1990.
Country |
International Rank |
Percent per year |
South Korea |
1 |
6.7 |
Singapore |
2 |
6.5 |
Taiwan |
4 |
6.2 |
Japan |
5 |
5.3 |
Thailand |
8 |
4.4 |
Indonesia |
13 |
3.8 |
Egypt |
31 |
2.9 |
Brazil |
34 |
2.7 |
Germany |
38 |
2.6 |
U.S. |
53 |
2.0 |
Nigeria |
56 |
1.9 |
India |
61 |
1.7 |
Source: Robert Summers, Alan Heston, Bettina Aten, and
Daniel A. Nuxoll. 1995. Penn World Tables. Mark 5.6a. Philadelphia:
Center for International Comparisons, University of Pennsylvania.
Please also note
that those
nations which followed capitalism, essentially, and focused on economic
growth, automatically had the lowest population growth rates, as
well as the greatest drop in poverty. To do this they did not have to
violate human rights as was done by China.
Tables 4: Population: How much of a problem?
Table 4a: Relative share of people of "undivided India," (including |
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Pakistan, Bangladesh and India ) in world population |
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World |
India |
Share |
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1750 |
791 |
170 |
21.49 |
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1800 |
978 |
186 |
19.02 |
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1850 |
1262 |
222 |
17.59 |
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1900 |
1650 |
285 |
17.27 |
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1950 |
2517 |
439 |
17.44 |
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1990 |
5295 |
1078 |
20.36 |
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2025 |
8473 |
1882 |
22.21 |
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Source : Data on world population till 1900, from Agarwala, 1972:2 |
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Data on India's population from Lal, 1988:35 |
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Data on world population from 1950, including data on |
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Pakistan, Bangladesh, etc., from World Resources Institute, 1994. |
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Table 4.b: Relative share of people of India, 1901-2025, in world population |
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World |
India |
Share |
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1900 |
1650 |
235 |
14.24 |
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1950 |
2517 |
358 |
14.22 |
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1990 |
5295 |
846 |
15.98 |
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2025 |
8473 |
1394 |
16.45 |
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Source : Data on India's population from 1901, from Ministry of Home Affairs, 1974:3 |
Other data from World Resources Institute, 1994. |
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